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1 – 10 of 496RICHARD J. KIRKHAM, A. HALIM BOUSSABAINE and MATTHEW P. KIRKHAM
Through a case study, this paper reports on a research project to develop a risk integrated methodology for forecasting the cost of electricity in a National Health Service (NHS…
Abstract
Through a case study, this paper reports on a research project to develop a risk integrated methodology for forecasting the cost of electricity in a National Health Service (NHS) acute care hospital building. The paper is formed of two strands. Strand one presents a rationale for selecting an appropriate time series forecasting method and strand two looks at the implementation of probabilistic modelling of the forecasts generated in strand one. The results of the research revealed that the Holt‐Winters multiplicative forecasting method produced the most reliable forecasts. The probabilistic modelling of the forecasts revealed that after a pair‐wise comparison between data collected at the hospital used as the case study and data collected from NHS acute care trusts nationwide, the forecasts were most likely to belong to the Weibull distribution. The results could then be used as inputs into a whole life cycle cost model or as a stand‐alone forecasting technique for predicting future electricity costs for use in the NHS Trust Financial Proforma returns.
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Hang Vo, Richard John Kirkham, Terry Mervyn Williams, Amanda Howells, Rick Forster and Terry Cooke-Davies
Effective and robust governance of major projects and programmes in the public sector is crucial to the accountability of the state and the transparency of state spending. The…
Abstract
Purpose
Effective and robust governance of major projects and programmes in the public sector is crucial to the accountability of the state and the transparency of state spending. The theoretical discourse on governance, in the context of projects and programmes, is not fully mature, although is now sufficiently well developed to warrant an increased scholarly focus on practice. This paper aims to contribute to the empirical literature through a study of assurance routines in the UK Government Major Projects Portfolio (GMPP).
Design/methodology/approach
A framework analysis approach to the evaluation of a subset of GMPP database generates original insights into (1) the framing of assurance review recommendations, (2) the treatment of assurance review data and (3) the subsequent tracking of the implementation of actions arising from the assurance review process.
Findings
The analysis reveals that the “delivery confidence” of the major projects and programmes included in this study improves during the time that they are assured on the GMPP. This would suggest that “enhanced” governance routines are desirable in programmes and projects that exhibit high degrees of complexity and scale.
Originality/value
The research findings contribute to the wider conversations in this journal and elsewhere on project governance routines and governance-as-practice in the context of government and public services.
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Devindi Geekiyanage and Thanuja Ramachandra
Traditionally, early-stage investment decisions on buildings purely based initial capital costs and simply ignored running costs and total lifecycle cost. This was basically due…
Abstract
Purpose
Traditionally, early-stage investment decisions on buildings purely based initial capital costs and simply ignored running costs and total lifecycle cost. This was basically due to the absence of estimating models that yield running costs at the early design stage. Often, when the design of a building, which is responsible for 10–15% of its total cost, is completed, 80% of the total cost is committed. This study aims to develop a building characteristic-based model, which is an early-stage determinant of running costs of buildings, to predict the running costs of commercial buildings.
Design/methodology/approach
A desk study was carried out to collect running costs data and building characteristics of 35 commercial buildings in Sri Lanka. A Pareto analysis, bivariate correlation analysis and hedonic regression modelling were performed on collected data.
Findings
According to Pareto analysis, utilities, services, admin work and cleaning are four main cost constituents, responsible for 80% of running costs, which can be represented by highly correlated building characteristics of building height, number of floors and size. Approximately 94% of the variance in annual running costs/sq. m is expressed by variables of number of floors, net floor area and working hours/day together with a mean prediction accuracy of 2.89%.
Research limitations/implications
The study has utilised a sample of 35 commercial buildings due to non-availability and difficulty in accessing running cost data.
Originality/value
Early-stage supportive running costs estimation model proposed by the study would enable construction professionals to benchmark the running costs and thereby optimise the building design. The developed hedonic model illustrated the variance of running costs concerning the changes in characteristics of a building.
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Bryan G. Cook, Lydia A. Beahm, Anna Moriah Myers, Victoria J. VanUitert and Sarah Emily Wilson
Scientific research provides a reliable means for developing and accumulating knowledge bases to guide policy and practice. However, evidence from meta-research and large-scale…
Abstract
Scientific research provides a reliable means for developing and accumulating knowledge bases to guide policy and practice. However, evidence from meta-research and large-scale replication projects suggests that the published research base likely reflects bias, which threatens the validity and credibility of research-based recommendations. Moreover, there is limited accessibility to research reports, which limits the impact and application of scientific research. In this chapter, we propose that open-science reforms, which aim to make the research process as open and transparent as possible, can be applied to help address these issues. We describe and discuss four open-science practices – preregistration and Registered Reports, open data and materials, open peer review, and open access and preprints – and propose that they may become one of the next big things in special education research.
A.H. Boussabaine, R.J. Kirkham and R.J. Grew
Providing and maintaining safe and comfortable conditions in sport centres raises many issues, particularly cost. The paper gives an overview of the factors associated with sport…
Abstract
Providing and maintaining safe and comfortable conditions in sport centres raises many issues, particularly cost. The paper gives an overview of the factors associated with sport centre servicing and attempts to highlight the governing factors associated with this, particularly energy costs. A total of 19 sport centres in the City of Liverpool in the UK are investigated, using data elicited from the Liverpool Leisure Services Directorate. The energy operating costs were analysed using statistical methods. Six models were developed to predict total energy costs. Testing and validation results showed a high level of model accuracy. The models would be of use to professionals involved in feasibility studies at the design stage.
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Femi Olubodun, Joseph Kangwa, Adebayo Oladapo and Judith Thompson
Life cycle costing (LCC) is a means of comparing design options on the basis of their whole life cost with the objective of providing value for money for the life of the asset…
Abstract
Purpose
Life cycle costing (LCC) is a means of comparing design options on the basis of their whole life cost with the objective of providing value for money for the life of the asset. The process involves estimating all the cost elements of the particular subject and translating them into a cost at a particular point in time, the present, enabling comparison. Despite being in theory, a useful tool LCC appears to experience varied levels of usage. Varied opinions have been expressed about the level to which LCC is used but there is no doubt that private finance initiatives and public‐private partnerships procurement routes have seen an increase in the use of the technique. The paper aims to appraise levels of application within the construction industry, in particular the paper will evaluate the existence of motivators and barriers which affect the decision to undertake LCC analysis in order to identify what actions can be taken to increase usage levels.
Design/methodology/approach
Following a literature review, empirical research was undertaken to collect data from construction professionals regarding their views, opinions and experiences of LCC. In total, 100 questionnaires were sent to construction and professionals in the North West of England.
Findings
The paper suggests that whilst just over 50 per cent of the sample implemented LCC the data also identified the lack of understanding of the technique and the absence of a standardised methodology as key limiting factors to wider implementation.
Research limitations/implications
Limitations in both the data collection strategy and sample size raise the issue that the results obtained cannot necessarily be deemed to be representative of the construction industry as a whole but merely of the sample and further research is recommended.
Originality/value
The paper concludes that continued professional development for construction professionals and clients alike together with the development of standardised procedures may enhance usage levels.
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M. Alshawi and I. Faraj
There have been major efforts to develop the technology for integrated construction environments and the mechanisms needed to improve the collaboration between construction…
Abstract
There have been major efforts to develop the technology for integrated construction environments and the mechanisms needed to improve the collaboration between construction professionals. Evidently, the development and usage of such an environment is a complicated task. The two issues that can be among the main contributors to this are: the development of the technology and its effective implementation. These two issues are addressed separately in this paper. The paper first explains the approaches of sharing project information, followed by a review of a recent project in this area, the result of which is a distributed integrated construction environment based on the industry foundation class (IFC), capable of supporting a number of construction applications. This environment is capable of supporting a construction team to work collaboratively over the internet. It then discusses the difficulties facing the successful implementation of such environments in construction organisations. This is addressed within the context of two management models for effective implementation of IT: the resource‐based model and the Nolan model.
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N Wang and R M W Horner
The impact of ‘context of use’ to the whole life costs (WLC) of building elements has not yet been studied in previous researches. Lack of hard and detailed historical data…
Abstract
The impact of ‘context of use’ to the whole life costs (WLC) of building elements has not yet been studied in previous researches. Lack of hard and detailed historical data constrained the use of traditional methods for this purpose. A fuzzy rule‐based system (FRBS) for any type of carpet cleaning cost estimate is one of a series of fuzzy models developed to estimate the WLC of building elements with the consideration of context of use to the elements. The fuzzy reasoning method, as the representation of human reasoning, is applied to WLC for the first time for carpet cleaning cost. The data used are the linguistic judgments from some experienced experts based on interview surveys. The implementation of the model is demonstrated in a case study. The result is assessed by the experts as an acceptable estimate.The paper concludes that Fuzzy Rule Based System is an appropriate method to model running costs of building elements. The model allows user to predict the cost variation of cleaning cost of carpet flooring according to its designed context of use.
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MICHAIL KAGIOGLOU, RACHEL COOPER, GHASSAN AOUAD and MARTIN SEXTON
The complexity of construction projects and the fragmentation of the construction industry undertaking those projects has effectively resulted in linear, uncoordinated and highly…
Abstract
The complexity of construction projects and the fragmentation of the construction industry undertaking those projects has effectively resulted in linear, uncoordinated and highly variable project processes in the UK construction sector. Research undertaken at the University of Salford resulted in the development of an improved project process, the Process Protocol, which considers the whole lifecycle of a construction project whilst integrating its participants under a common framework. The Process Protocol identifies the various phases of a construction project with particular emphasis on what is described in the manufacturing industry as the ‘fuzzy front end’. The participants in the process are described in terms of the activities that need to be undertaken in order to achieve a successful project and process execution. In addition, the decision‐making mechanisms, from a client perspective, are illustrated and the foundations for a learning organization/industry are facilitated within a consistent Process Protocol.
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Anthony Higham, Chris Fortune and Howard James
The purpose of this paper is to establish the extent to which life cycle costing (LCC) is used as an early stage project evaluation tool by practitioners in the UK construction…
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to establish the extent to which life cycle costing (LCC) is used as an early stage project evaluation tool by practitioners in the UK construction industry. The use of this evaluation tool has long been advocated by academics as a means of ensuring best value rather than lowest cost is a driver for business decisions related to potential built environment projects. Therefore there is a need to appraise its current uptake levels amongst built environment professionals and assess whether there are any barriers affecting its use in UK practice.
Design/methodology/approach
Using a mixed methods approach, the authors present the findings from a survey of construction professionals located in the UK and the results from a series of follow up semi-structured interviews designed to further explore the factors found to affect the use of LCC in practice.
Findings
The study shows that LCC is still not widely used by built environment professionals in the UK. The greatest inhibitor on the take up of the tool is the need of clients to budget on short-term horizons. Other factors such as a lack awareness of the tool by practitioners and clients, unreliability of data into the long term and the overriding need for commercially driven projects to achieve maximum return on investment continue to inhibit the widespread adoption of LCC as an early stage project evaluation tool. These findings have implications for the capability of the UK construction industry to deliver on its commitment to enhance the sustainability of the built environment.
Originality/value
The paper offers insights into the current use of LCC and the factors affecting its use in the UK.
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